Price history and alerts: how to buy a statue at the right moment

A PLN 3,000 statue with a strikethrough price of PLN 3,600 looks like a bargain. But a "-17%" badge does not tell you what the same figure costs in other shops, or what it cost two months ago. Below we explain how to read price history, when we flag an offer as a deal (with the actual thresholds) and how to set an alert so you buy at the right moment instead of under pressure from a countdown banner.

Why a strikethrough price is not enough

Since 1 January 2023, a shop in Poland that announces a price reduction must show, next to it, the lowest price from the 30 days before the reduction (art. 4(2) of the Polish Act on informing about prices of goods and services, which implements the EU Omnibus Directive). That was a big step forward, but the rule has limits:

• it covers one shop: it tells you what the figure cost at that seller, not what it costs elsewhere;
• it only looks back 30 days;
• it only applies when the shop communicates a reduction. According to UOKiK, the Polish consumer protection authority, a shop that lowers a price without telling customers does not have to show the 30-day lowest price.

For statues sold by several shops in Poland, elsewhere in the EU and outside it, that is not enough. So we compare prices across every shop we track and calculate deals from our own price history, not from strikethrough prices.

What exactly we record

For each offer we record the price, the shipping cost and the availability, but a new history point is created only when something changes. From that data we derive one number per figure per day: the lowest landed price among the shops where you can buy it or pre-order it. The landed price includes shipping and, for shops outside the EU, an estimate of customs duty, 23% VAT and the clearance fee (the full calculation is in Customs and VAT when buying from outside the EU). Foreign currencies are converted at the NBP (National Bank of Poland) average rate.

A good example is the Dark Horse statue of Geralt in the Toussaint tourney armor. In the official CD PROJEKT RED store its price changed four times in less than a month, each time between PLN 326 and PLN 327. Every such change goes into the history, but none of them is a deal.

The 90-day median and deal thresholds

The reference point is the median of daily landed prices over the 90 days before the day the offer reached its current price. The median is the middle value: one expensive shop cannot push it up and a one-day sale cannot drag it down. For a price deal to appear at all, that window needs at least 14 days of data.

Thresholds depend on the section. On a PLN 4,000 statue, 10% means PLN 400, while on a PLN 300 figure even 15% is not worth changing your plans for. That is why the collectibles section (statues, busts, scale figures, 1/6 figures, action figures and collector's editions) needs both a percentage and an amount at the same time:

Deal	Statues, scale, 1/6, collector's editions	Funko and designer toys
Price drop	at least 10% and PLN 100 below the 90-day median	at least 15% and PLN 5 below the median
All-time low	after at least 30 days of history, at least 1% and PLN 50 below the previous minimum	after at least 30 days, at least 1% and PLN 1 lower
Below maker's price	at least 10% and PLN 100 below MSRP	at least 15% and PLN 5 below MSRP
Back in stock	after at least 3 days out of stock	after at least 7 days out of stock
Pre-orders open	a shop has just opened pre-orders	same

A price deal expires no later than 30 days after the price change (a price that holds for longer stops being a deal and simply becomes the price). Event deals, meaning back in stock, pre-orders opening and a rare version available again, last 72 hours from the event. You will find all current ones in Deals and restocks, and a short summary of the rules on the About page.

Back to Geralt. At around PLN 326, the PLN 100 threshold means we will only show a price drop at about PLN 226 or less. That is deliberate: small fluctuations do not clutter the deals list. If you want to hear about every reduction, set an "Any price drop" alert (described below).

Event deals: restocks, pre-orders, the maker's price

With expensive statues, being able to buy one at all often matters more than a discount of ten-odd percent.

• Back in stock. Weta Workshop Aragorn Hunter of the Plains had been out of stock at GeekUP since at least 26 September, and on 20 October it came back at the same price of PLN 2,311.99. The same day, XM Studios Magneto Dawn of X 1/4 returned at the US shop Spec Fiction: USD 1,299, or about PLN 6,700 in our estimate with customs and VAT (excluding shipping, which we do not know for this shop). More statues from these makers: Weta Workshop and XM Studios.
• A restock is not a discount. Max Factory Chun-Li 1/6 came back on 21 October, but at USD 399 instead of the USD 315 the shop listed while it was sold out, about 27% more (in the estimate with customs and VAT, about PLN 2,076 instead of about PLN 1,650). The "Back in stock" deal tells you about availability; the chart on the figure page tells you about the price.
• Pre-orders open. We only flag this when we see a change of state (for example from "out of stock" to "pre-order") in a shop we were already tracking. The first crawl of a new shop never produces a deal, because "seen for the first time" is not the same as "just opened". Open pre-orders are in New releases and pre-orders, and releases from the last 60 days in New releases.
• Below maker's price. We take the MSRP from the official store of the maker or licensor, or our editors enter it. This deal does not need our history, so it works from day one. PureArts Amunet The Hidden One 1/8 costs EUR 95 (about PLN 415) in the PureArts store and PLN 288.99 at GeekUP, 30% less. We checked that both offers are for the same 1/8 scale PVC statue, about 25 cm tall.

When to buy: three strategies

Limited statues: pre-order or hunt for a restock

Once a limited-edition statue disappears from warehouses, there may never be another batch. If you really want it, a pre-order is the safest route (we cover deposits and dates in Statue pre-orders: deposits and dates). If you missed the pre-order window, set a back-in-stock alert: single pieces do come back, like Aragorn and Magneto this month. Just watch the version, because Regular, Deluxe, Exclusive and Bonus are separate products with different prices (statue versions).

Figures that come back: wait for a better price

Figures from big lines, such as Pop Up Parade from Good Smile Company, do get re-released: the maker has announced reprints of figures from this series many times. Today we see Pop Up Parade L Lucy in two shops: Vinyl Cave has it in stock for CZK 2,885 (about PLN 519), and DystryktZero takes pre-orders for PLN 431.90 with an estimated date of 30 June 2027. If you are in no hurry, the difference of about PLN 87 favours the patient. For figures like this, an alert with a target price works well.

Non-EU shops and sales: compare landed prices

With shops outside the EU, the exchange rate affects the landed price. We convert the chart and the deals at the current NBP rate, so they show price moves in the shop rather than currency swings. What you actually pay, however, depends on the rate on the day you buy: for Magneto at USD 1,299, a 10 grosz move in the dollar rate means a difference of about PLN 170 in our estimate, because customs and VAT are calculated on top of the converted amount. When a shop announces a seasonal sale, for example for Black Friday, compare the price with the median on the chart and with other shops. A reduction measured from last week's price is not necessarily lower than what another shop charges every day.

How to set an alert

1. Log in or create a free account on the login page.
2. On a figure page, the "Watch" button adds it to your watchlist. The "Alert me when the price incl. shipping drops below" field sets a target (we suggest an amount 10% below the current best price), and the third button is a back-in-stock alert or, for announced figures, a pre-order alert.
3. In your account, for figures on your watchlist, you can also add an "Any price drop" alert, choose whether to count shipping, and set how often a single alert may e-mail you (from 6 hours to a week, once a day by default).

Alert	When you get an e-mail
Price below threshold	the best price falls to your target or lower; another e-mail when it drops further or falls below the target again after going up
Any price drop	the best price is lower than at the previous check
Back in stock	the figure was not in stock in any shop, and now it is
Preorder opens	no shop was taking pre-orders, and now one is

We check most offers overnight and send alert e-mails twice a day, around 6:30 and 18:30 Polish time, so an overnight change usually lands in the morning e-mail. Every e-mail has "Turn off this alert" and "Unsubscribe from all alert e-mails" links that work without logging in.

What we do not know yet

• The history is short. We have been collecting it since 26 September 2026, so there are no long charts yet. Today the 90-day median is based on less than four weeks, and "All-time low" deals can only appear at the end of October, after 30 days of data.
• We do not see every shop. We only track shops that let our bot in. A few shops block traffic from the servers our scraper runs on, so a lower price may be somewhere we do not look.
• Customs is an estimate. The duty rate depends on the tariff code and the clearance fee on the carrier. For some foreign shops we do not know the shipping cost, and then the landed price is marked "excl. shipping (cost unknown)".
• We check most offers once a day. A restock that sells out within a few hours may slip past us.

The simplest plan to start with: watch a few figures, set a target at the price you actually want to pay, and turn on back-in-stock alerts for the ones that have already left the shops. The price history will do the rest.